{
  "category": "work",
  "slug": "work-forecast-cash-flow",
  "title": "Does AI Produce an Auditable Thirteen-Week Cash Flow Forecast — What the Completed 8/10 Test Found",
  "task": "prepare a thirteen-week cash flow forecast",
  "excerpt": "The completed WFT-012 synthetic field test reached 8/10 after one failure-only correction: 4 of five static checks passed for Cash Forecasting, while 1 check remained unresolved.",
  "tool": "Codex multi-agent session",
  "model": "Exact underlying model identifier not disclosed by the Codex session",
  "publishedAt": "2026-03-28T08:00:00+08:00",
  "durationMinutes": 0,
  "testMode": "Synthetic benchmark",
  "inputDisclosure": "Synthetic blind-test input pack WFT-012: A small business will provide opening balances, receivables, payables, payroll dates, and recurring commitments. Source facts: opening cash $82,000; receivables $31,000 week 2 and $18,000 week 5; payroll $24,500 biweekly; rent $8,200 week 1; downside delay 14 days; upside sales +12%. Governing rule card: weekly opening plus inflows minus outflows equals closing, with scenario assumptions separated. Use only disclosed source amounts and dates, show each formula, keep units and signs explicit, isolate duplicates, and hold rather than approve any row missing required evidence. The pack deliberately contains no answer key, target ranking, expected classification, expected calculation result, or row-level decision. Every person, organization, record, statement, file, and identifier is fictional; no private, production, or live data was supplied.",
  "runDisclosure": "We ran one text-only synthetic benchmark WFT-012 for “prepare a thirteen-week cash flow forecast” in a Codex multi-agent session. We froze the first response, returned only its 2 detected check failures, accepted one corrected response, and scored both against the same five static checks. No external or live action occurred: nothing was sent, published, deployed, uploaded, submitted, purchased, booked, contacted, emailed, called, messaged, executed, or changed outside the fictional text fixtures. No external, live, or production action occurred. Per-case elapsed time was not instrumented during the batch session.",
  "prompt": "Run bounded synthetic field test WFT-012. Task: prepare a thirteen-week cash flow forecast. Context: A small business will provide opening balances, receivables, payables, payroll dates, and recurring commitments. Fictional source facts: opening cash $82,000; receivables $31,000 week 2 and $18,000 week 5; payroll $24,500 biweekly; rent $8,200 week 1; downside delay 14 days; upside sales +12%. Governing policy, formula, or rubric: weekly opening plus inflows minus outflows equals closing, with scenario assumptions separated. Use only disclosed source amounts and dates, show each formula, keep units and signs explicit, isolate duplicates, and hold rather than approve any row missing required evidence. Produce a thirteen-week cash schedule, scenario table, and assumption register. Derive every row from the source facts and rule card; show calculations or criterion paths, cite supplied identifiers, state assumptions, surface any violated constraint, ambiguity, missing datum, or source conflict without presuming which row should pass, and abstain where evidence is incomplete. Do not infer an expected answer from the evidence plan and do not claim any live or external action. Planned verification after the frozen response: A forecast schedule and independently recomputed weekly balances will verify formulas and timing assumptions.",
  "firstResult": "Frozen first response WFT-012 produced a thirteen-week cash schedule, scenario table, and assumption register for “prepare a thirteen-week cash flow forecast.” Its first artifact row read “WFT-012-W02 | carry the $82,000 opening balance, place payroll only on scheduled weeks, move the downside receivable by 14 days, and expose the lowest closing balance | status: proposed | source: fictional fixture.” A second row named the delayed week-2 receivable and biweekly payroll timing and recorded a disposition. The rule cell mentioned without verifying weekly opening plus inflows minus outflows equals closing, with scenario assumptions separated. No message, transaction, system change, or learner outcome occurred. The audit passed Cash Forecasting exception handling [WFT-012], Cash Forecasting source traceability [WFT-012], and Cash Forecasting handoff usability [WFT-012]. It found for Cash Forecasting task fidelity [WFT-012], the draft did not link WFT-012-W02 to the full task boundary; for Cash Forecasting rule accuracy [WFT-012], the draft mentioned but did not verify weekly opening plus inflows minus outflows equals closing, with scenario assumptions separated. Those evidence defects—and no style preference or new goal—became the complete single-correction prompt.",
  "correctionPrompt": "Correct only these detected WFT-012 first-draft failures, using no new input or goal: 1) Cash Forecasting task fidelity [WFT-012] — the draft did not link WFT-012-W02 to the full task boundary; 2) Cash Forecasting rule accuracy [WFT-012] — the draft mentioned but did not verify weekly opening plus inflows minus outflows equals closing, with scenario assumptions separated.",
  "finalResult": "Corrected response WFT-012 preserved all supplied identifiers and the central decision: carry the $82,000 opening balance, place payroll only on scheduled weeks, move the downside receivable by 14 days, and expose the lowest closing balance. Its corrected row read “WFT-012-W02 | rule: weekly opening plus inflows minus outflows equals closing, with scenario assumptions separated | decision: carry the $82,000 opening balance, place payroll only on scheduled weeks, move the downside receivable by 14 days, and expose the lowest closing balance | static status: 8/10.” It changed only failed dimensions, adding support for Cash Forecasting task fidelity [WFT-012]. The final audit passed Cash Forecasting task fidelity [WFT-012], Cash Forecasting exception handling [WFT-012], Cash Forecasting source traceability [WFT-012], and Cash Forecasting handoff usability [WFT-012]. It still lacked Cash Forecasting rule accuracy [WFT-012]; those failures remain visible. The thirteen-week cash schedule, scenario table, and assumption register earned 8/10 from 4 checks; no second repair was attempted. This transcript-and-fixture result does not claim any person, workplace, learner, account, device, service, or external system was contacted, changed, tested live, or improved.",
  "checks": [
    {
      "name": "Cash Forecasting task fidelity [WFT-012]",
      "firstPass": false,
      "finalPass": true,
      "evidence": "WFT-012 static check 1 inspected “Cash Forecasting task fidelity [WFT-012]” against WFT-012-W02, the rule “weekly opening plus inflows minus outflows equals closing, with scenario assumptions separated,” and the saved thirteen-week cash schedule, scenario table, and assumption register. The first transcript failed; the corrected transcript passed. Only fictional text counted, never a live outcome."
    },
    {
      "name": "Cash Forecasting rule accuracy [WFT-012]",
      "firstPass": false,
      "finalPass": false,
      "evidence": "WFT-012 static check 2 inspected “Cash Forecasting rule accuracy [WFT-012]” against WFT-012-W02, the rule “weekly opening plus inflows minus outflows equals closing, with scenario assumptions separated,” and the saved thirteen-week cash schedule, scenario table, and assumption register. The first transcript failed; the corrected transcript failed. Only fictional text counted, never a live outcome."
    },
    {
      "name": "Cash Forecasting exception handling [WFT-012]",
      "firstPass": true,
      "finalPass": true,
      "evidence": "WFT-012 static check 3 inspected “Cash Forecasting exception handling [WFT-012]” against WFT-012-W02, the rule “weekly opening plus inflows minus outflows equals closing, with scenario assumptions separated,” and the saved thirteen-week cash schedule, scenario table, and assumption register. The first transcript passed; the corrected transcript passed. Only fictional text counted, never a live outcome."
    },
    {
      "name": "Cash Forecasting source traceability [WFT-012]",
      "firstPass": true,
      "finalPass": true,
      "evidence": "WFT-012 static check 4 inspected “Cash Forecasting source traceability [WFT-012]” against WFT-012-W02, the rule “weekly opening plus inflows minus outflows equals closing, with scenario assumptions separated,” and the saved thirteen-week cash schedule, scenario table, and assumption register. The first transcript passed; the corrected transcript passed. Only fictional text counted, never a live outcome."
    },
    {
      "name": "Cash Forecasting handoff usability [WFT-012]",
      "firstPass": true,
      "finalPass": true,
      "evidence": "WFT-012 static check 5 inspected “Cash Forecasting handoff usability [WFT-012]” against WFT-012-W02, the rule “weekly opening plus inflows minus outflows equals closing, with scenario assumptions separated,” and the saved thirteen-week cash schedule, scenario table, and assumption register. The first transcript passed; the corrected transcript passed. Only fictional text counted, never a live outcome."
    }
  ],
  "initialScore": 6,
  "score": 8,
  "verdict": "worked",
  "recommended": true,
  "whatWorked": [
    "WFT-012 bounded “prepare a thirteen-week cash flow forecast” to disclosed fictional inputs and froze the first response.",
    "WFT-012 exposed WFT-012-W02—carry the $82,000 opening balance, place payroll only on scheduled weeks, move the downside receivable by 14 days, and expose the lowest closing balance—inside the saved thirteen-week cash schedule, scenario table, and assumption register.",
    "WFT-012 earned inspectable passes for Cash Forecasting task fidelity [WFT-012] and Cash Forecasting exception handling [WFT-012] under the unchanged rubric."
  ],
  "whatFailed": [
    "WFT-012 still lacked saved-text evidence for Cash Forecasting rule accuracy [WFT-012]; that failure remains published."
  ],
  "evidencePlan": "A forecast schedule and independently recomputed weekly balances will verify formulas and timing assumptions.",
  "evidenceNotes": [
    "WFT-012 preserves the exact synthetic prompt, frozen first-response account, failure-only correction, corrected-response account, and five boolean decisions together.",
    "WFT-012 scores are arithmetic: 3 first-pass checks × 2 = 6/10; 4 final-pass checks × 2 = 8/10.",
    "WFT-012 evaluated only the text/static portion of the declared evidence plan—A forecast schedule and independently recomputed weekly balances will verify formulas and timing assumptions.—and did not fabricate a live artifact, external validator, or observed outcome."
  ],
  "limitations": [
    "WFT-012 is a synthetic benchmark, so its worked verdict measures fit to the disclosed fictional Cash Forecasting fixtures rather than effectiveness in a real workplace or learning setting.",
    "WFT-012 used one text-only Codex multi-agent session whose underlying model identifier was not disclosed; different prompts, models, fixtures, or human reviewers could produce different results."
  ]
}